2025 Mexico

Competitiveness of Mexican avocado exports to the United States based on external macroeconomic variables: a multiple linear regression approach for the period 2012–2024.

Authors: Hernández-Salas, José Esteban; Ortega Montes, Fabiola Iveth; Macías-López, María Guadalupe; Domínguez-Aragón, Héctor Hugo

Mexican avocado has become one of the most important agro-export products worldwide, with the United States as its main destination market. However, this high concentration exposes exports to the volatility of external macroeconomic factors. This article analyzes the impact of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product [GDP], Federal Reserve interest rate, U.S. inflation, and the peso–dollar exchange rate on the competitiveness of Mexican avocado exports during 2010–2024. Using a multiple linear regression

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2025 Colombia

Methodological proposal for market risk assessment in agriculture: a case study of the Hass avocado

Authors: Botero, FV., Montoya, RAC., Luján, SAS., Echeverri, EAJ.

This study addresses agricultural risks as an emerging category in risk assessment and focuses on measuring market risk and its impact on producers and financial entities. Since the lack of measurement can limit producers' decisions and hinder access to financing and planning measures to mitigate or transfer risks, a methodology is proposed and validated to evaluate market risk in the agricultural sector through a case study focused on the Hass avocado in Antioquia. The results lead to quantifying

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2025 Rwanda

Business case analytics for avocado, chili and poultry value chains in Rwanda: Implications on Job Creation

Authors: Wisdom Richard Mgomezulu, Paul Thangata, Sibusiso Nhlengethwa, Davis Muthini, Jonathan Said

Globally, agricultural value chains are undergoing rapid transformation driven by technological advancement and the need for sustainable development. While developing agencies increasingly recognize agriculture's potential for job creation and economic growth, systematic approaches to evaluate business cases that combine both financial viability and social benefits remain scarce. We address this knowledge gap through employing an innovative analytical framework to assess business cases, focusing

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2025 Colombia

The Hass Avocado Boom as a Catalyst for Socio-Natural Regime Transitions in the Global South: Insights from Northern Caldas, Colombia

Authors: Suarez, Andres

"The global hass avocado (Persea americana ""Hass"") market has seen significant growth in recent decades, driven by increasing demand in key markets such as the United States, the European Union, and China (Denvir et al., 2021). Mexico is the world's leading producer and exporter, accounting for more than 40 percent of global production (Caro et al., 2021). However, other countries, including Peru, Chile, and Colombia, have expanded their market share through intensive production strategies and

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2025 Chile

Telecoupled social–ecological systems: the case of avocado in Chile

Authors: Ortiz AMD, Baeza-González S, Jensen M, Huaico Malhue A, Lavín-Oviedo U, Celis-Diez JL

The popularity of avocados has increased globally in alternative diets, alongside its integral role in Latin American cuisine. In Chile, avocados are grown extensively and intensively in orchards in the dry and Mediterranean climate of Central Chile. Avocado is a water-demanding crop and the severe water crisis in Chile has called attention to the conflicts caused by its water use. As most of the pressure to produce avocado comes from international demand but results in impacts on native ecosystems

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2025 Andes

Foresight to 2035 in cold climate fruit trees: scenario alignment, Delphi method, and complement with Python libraries

Authors: Zartha Sossa, Jhon Wilder,; Gutiérrez Posada, Nolberto; Zuluaga Monsalve, Adriana María; Valencia Grisales, Liliana; Rodríguez Torres, Jhoan Sebastián; Orozco Mendoza, Gina Lía; Escobar Mora, Nelson Javier; Palacio Piedrahíta, Juan Carlos; Moreno Sarta, John Fredy; González Candia, Julio

"Cold-climate fruit trees, such as avocado, blackberry, curuba, lulo, and goldenberry, are economically and socially significant in Andean countries. This study employs foresight methodologies to support strategic planning, prioritize innovations, and reduce uncertainty in decision-making within this agro-industrial chain. Scenario analysis and the Delphi method were applied, analyzing 34 variables using MICMAC, identifying nine as key. Three future objectives were formulated and assessed with key

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